Forecast Confidence Score in Assortment Plan

You can now see how much to trust each forecast method — directly in the Assortment Plan line plan grid. A new Forecast Confidence Score tells you which method, Statistical or ML, is performing best for each cluster before you plan around it.

What you can do:

See the score at a glance
– The Forecast Confidence Score appears on each choice row in the line plan grid.
Dig into the details
– Double-click the score to open the Forecast Confidence Metrics popup and compare Statistical and ML performance side by side.
Understand what's driving the score
– Review three metrics per method per cluster: Confidence Score (overall trust), Model Accuracy (how well it tracked demand changes), and Data Quality (how clean and stable the underlying sales history is).
Pick your forecast method per cluster
– Set each cluster to Statistical Forecast, ML Forecast, Best Confidence (Toolio picks the better scorer), or Organization Default.
Spot shaky forecasts before you commit
– Scan for LOW scores across your line plan and give those choices a closer look before building receipts or setting buys.

Why it helps:

Know which forecast method to trust for each cluster — without guessing.
Let Toolio automatically pick the better-performing method cluster by cluster using Best Confidence.
Catch low-confidence choices early, before they affect your buys.

For full details on the scoring methodology and forecast method selection, see our help documentation.